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Red157
438837.2
743616.8
742660.5
Blue114
417524.3
455031.2
156920.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1146820406080100140160180157114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
110Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
157Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.52.8
53.155.9
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 29.3
4550
#26
31.22.3
25.427.7
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Second
4388
#12
37.24.3
29.433.7
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
red by 12.9
4175
#18
24.32.3
21.423.7
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Third
7436
#16
16.84.3
13.918.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
blue by 3.8
1569
#23
20.62.3
19.121.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned