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Red20
105610.8
328811.6
903718.6
Blue53
429324.2
79069.0
320019.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52492030406070802053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +43
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
20Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9037
#28
18.62.4
18.716.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
blue by 5.6
4293
#10
24.21.2
19.020.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
Second
3288
#27
11.62.4
12.39.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
blue by 7.6
3200
#35
19.31.1
15.917.0
Auto2.4
Teleop16.4
End0.5
Third
1056
#24
10.82.4
14.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
red by 1.9
7906
#29
9.01.1
6.67.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed