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Red112
494432.8
913811.0
585138.3
Blue135
429324.2
328811.6
98765.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811014060120140112135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#6
18Processor points18
36Net points24
54Algae points42
101Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
112Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#15
38.32.0
35.337.3
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
blue by 27.2
987
#1
65.52.7
59.562.2
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
32.82.0
29.131.1
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 8.6
4293
#10
24.22.9
20.223.1
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
Third
9138
#30
11.02.0
9.011.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 0.6
3288
#27
11.62.7
8.911.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned