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Red125
507111.3
210238.6
742660.5
Blue59
455031.2
913811.0
189120.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9865020408012014016012559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+46Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
0Processor points6
16Net points12
16Algae points18
78Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#1
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
125Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.53.1
46.449.5
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 29.3
4550
#26
31.20.4
25.825.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Second
38.63.1
22.225.3
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
red by 18.2
1891
#31
20.40.4
22.722.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Third
5071
#21
11.34.2
18.522.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 0.3
9138
#30
11.00.4
13.913.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed