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Red98
99922.0
61432.4
583022.5
Blue51
11647.2
126233.6
191512.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741060501502002509851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+35Teleop
+23Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
59Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
24Foul points0
98Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#15
32.40.6
31.432.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.0
End1.0
blue by 14.8
116
#5
47.22.9
44.841.9
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
5830
#26
22.50.6
20.621.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
blue by 11.0
1262
#16
33.62.9
31.428.5
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
Third
9992
#28
2.01.0
10.211.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.7
End-0.8
blue by 10.7
1915
#32
12.62.9
15.512.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned