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Red31
463828.3
55876.3
189524.7
Blue96
524313.1
42265.1
554923.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641500501002002503003196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+45
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
16Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
31Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#22
28.32.9
30.227.3
Auto11.0
Teleop15.0
End2.3
blue by 36.8
422
#10
65.12.4
84.482.1
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
Second
24.72.9
32.029.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.6
End2.7
red by 1.6
5549
#14
23.12.4
22.420.1
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
5587
#30
6.32.9
7.54.6
Auto2.3
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 6.8
5243
#24
13.12.4
12.610.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned