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Red116
126233.6
88841.7
42265.1
Blue61
237720.3
623914.9
218617.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21938010015020025030035011661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
17Coral scored#6
61Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
81Total teleop34
Reef
10L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points12
116Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#10
65.14.7
89.184.4
Auto18.4
Teleop39.1
End7.6
red by 44.8
2377
#29
20.30.5
17.316.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End0.2
Second
888
#4
41.74.7
53.749.0
Auto11.7
Teleop29.4
End0.5
red by 24.3
2186
#19
17.30.5
20.119.6
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5
Third
1262
#16
33.64.7
37.432.7
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End1.2
red by 18.7
6239
#31
14.90.5
18.618.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed