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Red169
173162.6
583022.5
210661.9
Blue128
11647.2
218617.3
62058.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154118050100200250169128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+53Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points30
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +43
23Coral scored#14
81Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
6Processor points6
28Net points16
34Algae points22
115Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#6
10L3#6
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
169Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.60.6
60.561.2
Auto14.2
Teleop39.4
End9.0
red by 4.1
620
#8
58.50.3
56.156.4
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End1.3
Second
61.90.6
59.860.4
Auto16.9
Teleop37.1
End7.8
red by 14.7
116
#5
47.20.3
44.845.1
Auto5.5
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Third
5830
#26
22.50.6
20.421.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.3
End1.1
red by 5.2
2186
#19
17.30.3
14.915.2
Auto5.9
Teleop2.9
End8.5