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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239850150200182160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#24
83Coral points85
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#8
24Processor points12
24Net points32
48Algae points44
131Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#11
9L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
182Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.71.1
48.149.1
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 17.5
1908
#20
34.20.8
33.334.1
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
836
#5
45.31.1
41.742.8
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 17.8
611
#9
27.50.8
26.627.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
6326
#36
19.61.1
16.017.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 7.5
1885
#34
27.20.8
26.327.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2