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Red70
61928.2
191518.7
409936.4
Blue107
97740.1
325818.8
313646.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768820406010012014070107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
47Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
70Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.1
35.335.2
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
blue by 10.1
46.51.4
34.235.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
Second
619
#26
28.20.1
20.420.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 11.9
977
#4
40.11.4
30.431.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Third
1915
#13
18.70.1
15.515.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 0.1
3258
#28
18.81.4
15.116.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned