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Red66
61712.6
393931.6
409936.4
Blue62
336120.0
159934.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72400501001502006662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
48Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
66Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.2
34.935.2
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
red by 1.9
34.41.4
21.623.0
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
Second
3939
#21
31.60.2
20.420.7
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
red by 11.6
3361
#16
20.01.3
5.97.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Third
617
#30
12.60.2
6.97.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
red by 3.0
9.61.3
15.316.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned