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Red45
289020.7
202828.3
40133.3
Blue55
1025719.9
572422.3
336120.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96420501504555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
45Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#17
33.32.4
41.739.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 11.0
5724
#11
22.30.3
19.519.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Second
2028
#20
28.32.4
27.324.9
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
red by 8.3
3361
#16
20.00.3
10.010.3
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Third
2890
#19
20.72.4
12.29.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 0.8
19.90.3
15.015.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed