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Red91
307217.1
393931.6
580442.5
Blue117
409936.4
42275.7
53928.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701335010015020091117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +29
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
65Total teleop94
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
4Foul points0
91Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#10
42.51.0
34.235.1
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
blue by 33.2
422
#1
75.70.0
62.462.3
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
Second
3939
#21
31.61.0
20.621.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 4.8
4099
#24
36.40.0
35.635.5
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
Third
3072
#25
17.11.0
17.718.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 11.2
539
#7
28.30.0
19.719.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed