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Red82
40133.3
580442.5
54024.6
Blue68
680236.7
336120.0
97740.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111890501502002508268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
72Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
82Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#10
42.51.3
38.537.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
red by 2.3
977
#4
40.11.0
37.636.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Second
401
#17
33.31.3
39.338.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
blue by 3.4
36.71.0
30.929.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
540
#23
24.61.3
23.622.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
red by 4.6
3361
#16
20.01.0
14.913.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned