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Red84
325818.8
336120.0
393931.6
Blue81
162959.2
152234.0
171913.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5712801001502008481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points25
16Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +23
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points31
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
68Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
84Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#21
31.61.2
26.327.5
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 27.6
59.22.1
56.854.7
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Second
3361
#16
20.01.2
15.716.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 14.0
1522
#18
34.02.1
33.531.4
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
Third
3258
#28
18.81.2
17.618.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
red by 5.7
1719
#31
13.12.1
17.415.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed