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Red85
54024.6
583024.3
335922.7
Blue66
307217.1
680236.7
61712.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777650607080901001108566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
73Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
85Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#23
24.61.2
23.224.4
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 12.1
36.70.1
32.032.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Second
5830
#12
24.31.2
20.922.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
red by 7.2
3072
#25
17.10.1
20.921.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
3359
#22
22.71.2
23.524.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 10.1
617
#30
12.60.1
11.211.3
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed