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Red123
159934.4
900330.2
409936.4
Blue137
126237.4
393931.6
53928.3
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114103050150200250300350123137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points15
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +22
21Coral scored#24
74Coral points88
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
100Total teleop122
Reef
11L4#9
4L3#7
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#34
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
123Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.2
36.236.4
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
blue by 1.0
37.40.6
36.937.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Second
34.40.2
34.234.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
red by 2.8
3939
#21
31.60.6
31.131.7
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Third
9003
#15
30.20.2
30.030.2
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 1.9
539
#7
28.30.6
27.928.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4