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Red23
146627.1
999511.9
99743.1
Blue47
99965.6
126232.6
99751.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35460204060802347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +32
2Coral scored#10
6Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
10Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
23Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
27.11.0
29.128.1
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
blue by 5.5
32.60.4
32.332.7
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Second
11.91.7
5.94.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 6.3
9996
#16
5.60.7
2.53.2
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
9974
#25
3.11.7
-0.1-1.7
Auto0.6
Teleop2.2
End0.6
red by 1.4
9975
#11
1.70.7
6.26.9
Auto0.5
Teleop2.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed