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Red35
572418.8
146627.1
99700.4
Blue34
99946.5
40131.9
99714.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53690204060801001201403534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
25Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
35Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
27.10.9
27.726.8
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End1.9
blue by 4.8
401
#3
31.91.3
42.941.7
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Second
5724
#13
18.80.9
19.718.8
Auto2.3
Teleop16.1
End0.3
red by 12.3
9994
#20
6.52.1
7.25.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.8
End2.4
Third
0.41.5
1.3-0.2
Auto-3.0
Teleop4.1
End-0.2
blue by 3.9
9971
#10
4.32.1
2.60.6
Auto-1.5
Teleop6.7
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned