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Red76
126232.6
999511.9
99714.3
Blue44
108626.7
99973.1
99723.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52504060707644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
65Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
76Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.62.2
33.736.0
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
red by 6.0
1086
#17
26.70.3
34.534.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Second
11.93.7
8.211.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.3
End0.9
red by 8.8
9997
#26
3.10.5
2.63.1
Auto0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.6
Third
9971
#10
4.33.7
0.64.3
Auto-1.5
Teleop6.7
End-0.4
red by 1.2
9972
#21
3.10.5
2.63.1
Auto0.2
Teleop3.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed