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Red102
108626.7
1025716.6
325814.3
Blue137
99965.6
126232.6
97743.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561150100150200250300102137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#17
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.5
End2.0
blue by 16.6
977
#4
43.30.0
43.343.3
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End2.5
Second
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
blue by 16.0
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Third
3258
#23
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 8.7
9996
#16
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto0.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4