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Red178
219934.2
159917.3
54045.7
Blue79
873842.4
202820.8
40131.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89107020030040050060070017879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+73Teleop
+97Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +66
24Coral scored#10
88Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
116Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#6
12L3#2
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +99
6Foul points4
178Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#5
45.71.8
43.145.0
Auto10.8
Teleop34.2
End0.8
red by 3.4
42.40.5
43.342.8
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Second
2199
#14
34.21.8
31.533.4
Auto8.6
Teleop19.3
End6.3
red by 2.3
401
#12
31.90.5
32.832.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End3.6
Third
1599
#17
17.31.8
14.716.5
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
blue by 3.5
2028
#29
20.80.5
21.721.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.2
End0.5