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Red151
173153.8
450512.5
44954.7
Blue131
33919.0
859241.8
210644.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811280100120140160180151131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#9
12Processor points12
24Net points36
36Algae points48
100Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
151Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.70.7
53.554.2
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 10.6
44.10.5
43.844.3
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
Second
53.80.7
52.653.3
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 11.9
41.80.5
41.541.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
Third
4505
#30
12.50.6
11.512.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
blue by 6.4
339
#22
19.00.5
18.619.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5