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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641040204080120140160984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +43
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop43
Reef
0L4#4
0L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
2Foul points24
9Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#11
22.85.8
15.910.0
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
blue by 30.9
53.83.1
41.037.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
Second
4472
#26
12.75.8
26.620.8
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 12.4
6802
#13
25.13.1
28.825.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Third
617
#32
6.95.8
17.111.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 7.9
3258
#20DQ
14.83.1
17.814.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned