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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94720501509355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +41
16Coral scored#6
56Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
78Total teleop37
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points6
93Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#12
31.50.2
30.730.9
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
red by 7.5
24.00.5
24.824.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
29.50.3
28.628.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
red by 7.4
3373
#10
22.10.5
22.922.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Third
539
#21
16.00.2
15.115.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 3.3
4472
#26
12.70.5
13.513.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0