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Red181
173153.8
1037014.7
44954.7
Blue131
34625.4
40421.9
900325.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1478850100200181131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
125Total teleop107
Reef
13L4#11
8L3#7
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points6
181Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.71.0
51.852.9
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 29.3
346
#9
25.40.6
25.325.9
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
53.81.0
50.951.9
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 28.6
25.10.6
25.025.6
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Third
14.70.9
13.814.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
blue by 7.2
404
#23
21.90.6
21.722.3
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2