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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9368204060801001201401607155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
40Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points12
71Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
39.90.5
41.040.6
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End1.2
red by 15.0
2363
#14
25.00.6
25.524.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.4
End6.4
Second
31.50.5
32.632.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End5.7
red by 10.3
4575
#11
21.20.6
21.821.2
Auto5.6
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Third
2068
#27
11.60.5
12.712.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 8.8
3939
#24
20.40.6
21.020.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End0.3