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Red72
15740.9
791321.7
81124.2
Blue57
909622.3
549422.7
34825.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815102040601001201407257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#7
23Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
41Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points0
72Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
#12
40.90.4
32.632.2
Auto4.4
Teleop30.4
End6.1
red by 15.5
348
#26
25.40.5
21.522.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.0
End2.3
Second
811
#28
24.20.4
22.121.7
Auto4.9
Teleop18.6
End0.7
red by 1.5
5494
#30
22.70.5
12.813.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
7913
#31
21.70.4
16.916.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
blue by 0.7
9096
#21
22.30.5
14.815.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed