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Red103
237058.7
6931.8
909622.3
Blue99
910138.9
1013822.1
791321.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277605010015020025010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#15
63Coral points53
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
85Total teleop91
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
103Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
58.71.0
58.557.6
Auto11.2
Teleop42.1
End5.5
red by 19.8
9101
#20
38.91.0
36.637.6
Auto5.3
Teleop32.2
End1.4
Second
69
#6
31.81.0
32.531.5
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End3.4
red by 9.6
22.11.7
21.122.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Third
9096
#21
22.31.0
15.214.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.9
End2.5
red by 0.7
7913
#31
21.71.0
14.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed