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Red201
2910105.1
889619.3
366361.1
Blue159
36056.6
304913.0
204665.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204131100150250201159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
39Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +32
22Coral scored#21
80Coral points74
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
30Processor points12
28Net points20
58Algae points32
138Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#7
9L3#9
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
201Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.10.4
104.7105.1
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 40.0
2046
#14
65.10.6
64.565.1
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End6.5
Second
61.10.4
60.861.1
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
red by 4.5
360
#3
56.60.6
56.056.6
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
Third
8896
#29
19.30.4
18.919.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 6.2
3049
#35
13.00.6
12.513.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End2.3