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Qual 102025 PNW District Auburn Event
Red47
805133.8
298016.0
290712.2
Blue86
457915.4
241242.7
292817.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67792040601001204786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+35
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
32Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points12
47Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8051
#9
33.81.0
22.2→21.1
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
blue by 8.8
2412
#19
42.70.1
42.0→42.1
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End1.7
Second
2980
#32
16.01.0
22.6→21.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
blue by 1.7
2928
#30
17.70.1
14.7→14.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Third
2907
#27
12.21.7
17.7→15.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End2.3
blue by 3.2
4579
#20
15.40.1
15.7→15.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed