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Red118
298016.0
357417.2
36056.6
Blue79
824819.7
805133.8
417319.9
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946605015020011879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#1
12Processor points12
20Net points4
32Algae points16
67Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points6
118Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#3
56.61.6
49.951.4
Auto10.8
Teleop40.1
End5.6
red by 22.8
33.80.7
27.327.9
Auto7.2
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Second
3574
#24
17.21.6
11.513.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
blue by 2.7
4173
#26
19.90.7
20.821.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
2980
#32
16.01.6
20.922.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
blue by 3.7
8248
#16
19.70.7
15.015.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed