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Red92
131862.5
292817.7
321924.2
Blue69
307037.3
298016.0
1042320.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11175501001509269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
57Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points8
92Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.6
61.861.2
Auto13.3
Teleop40.0
End9.2
red by 25.2
3070
#21
37.30.9
32.531.6
Auto4.7
Teleop31.3
End1.4
Second
3219
#12
24.20.6
20.920.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
red by 4.1
20.00.9
21.820.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6
Third
2928
#30
17.70.6
17.917.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
red by 1.7
2980
#32
16.00.9
20.119.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed