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Red42
38768.2
321924.2
418020.3
Blue95
129419.1
292817.7
366361.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4010902060801001201401604295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave0
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
3Coral scored#11
11Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
17Total teleop55
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
42Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#12
24.20.4
20.319.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.2
End6.0
blue by 37.0
61.10.3
61.761.4
Auto19.1
Teleop33.2
End8.9
Second
4180
#13
20.30.4
22.822.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.9
End3.6
red by 1.2
1294
#11
19.10.3
14.614.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
3876
#34
8.20.4
4.44.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
blue by 9.5
2928
#30
17.70.3
17.317.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed