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Red122
457915.4
378630.2
889619.3
Blue94
48849.4
298016.0
417319.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58104020408012014016012294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
+28Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
12Processor points18
4Net points12
16Algae points30
58Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
46Foul points0
122Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3786
#25
30.21.0
27.528.5
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.6
blue by 19.1
488
#17
49.40.0
47.147.1
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Second
8896
#29
19.31.0
15.616.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 0.7
4173
#26
19.90.0
24.224.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
4579
#20
15.41.0
15.516.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End0.2
blue by 0.6
2980
#32
16.00.0
19.219.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed