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Red145
830230.5
368144.9
445038.0
Blue87
48849.4
38768.2
129419.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117685010015020014587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
91Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
12Foul points0
145Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#10
44.92.0
42.144.0
Auto7.3
Teleop29.8
End7.8
blue by 4.5
488
#17
49.41.3
46.347.5
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End0.5
Second
38.02.0
34.036.0
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
red by 18.9
1294
#11
19.11.3
15.316.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
30.52.0
27.429.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End5.2
red by 22.4
3876
#34
8.21.3
6.57.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed