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Red180
2910105.1
889619.3
445038.0
Blue111
357417.2
902357.4
129419.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1768350100150200250180111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+71Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
39Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
12Processor points6
28Net points16
40Algae points22
127Total teleop79
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#8
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
180Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.11.6
101.3102.9
Auto20.4
Teleop73.6
End11.1
red by 47.7
57.41.4
55.356.7
Auto10.0
Teleop44.0
End3.4
Second
38.01.6
36.037.6
Auto5.8
Teleop26.6
End5.6
red by 18.9
1294
#11
19.11.4
16.618.0
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
8896
#29
19.31.6
15.417.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 2.0
3574
#24
17.21.4
15.416.8
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
55%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned