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Red130
491144.3
999914.4
902372.1
Blue125
321845.3
241257.5
408937.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351830100300400130125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+7Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points48
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#5
12Processor points30
12Net points20
24Algae points50
115Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
130Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.10.4
70.570.2
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
red by 14.6
57.52.6
61.358.7
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
Second
4911
#11
44.30.4
38.037.6
Auto5.0
Teleop36.9
End2.4
blue by 1.0
3218
#18
45.32.6
57.154.4
Auto12.0
Teleop30.6
End2.7
Third
9999
#25
14.40.6
16.015.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
blue by 23.4
4089
#30
37.82.6
39.937.3
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed