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Red152
945076.9
198331.4
568311.4
Blue126
297618.2
999914.4
177863.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014480100120160180200152126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
26Coral scored#19
94Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
112Total teleop100
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#6
5L2#6
7L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
8Foul points6
152Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.90.1
72.872.9
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
red by 13.7
1778
#19
63.21.4
80.479.0
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
Second
1983
#27
31.40.1
31.631.7
Auto4.4
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 13.2
2976
#36
18.21.4
24.523.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Third
5683
#33
11.40.1
18.818.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 2.9
9999
#25
14.42.3
15.813.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed