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Red196
408937.8
36059.9
177863.2
Blue245
293058.2
291098.5
902372.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184254100150200300350196245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave6
5Coral scored#12
24Coral points58
33Total auto64
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#28
81Coral points101
7Processor algae#6
9Net algae#7
42Processor points36
36Net points28
78Algae points64
159Total teleop165
Reef
7L4#14
11L3#12
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#7
44Game pieces#53
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
196Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#19
63.20.5
79.079.6
Auto12.8
Teleop50.8
End-0.4
blue by 35.3
98.50.2
93.593.7
Auto27.9
Teleop61.9
End8.8
Second
360
#3
59.90.5
58.258.7
Auto11.3
Teleop45.3
End3.4
blue by 12.2
72.10.2
71.872.0
Auto13.2
Teleop56.8
End2.2
Third
4089
#30
37.80.5
36.637.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
blue by 20.4
2930
#15
58.20.2
62.662.8
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned100%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned