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Red76
293058.2
762730.5
292812.2
Blue131
297618.2
945076.9
408937.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015605010020025076131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+61
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
57Total teleop95
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points0
76Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#15
58.23.2
62.859.6
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End6.9
blue by 18.7
76.90.2
74.574.3
Auto15.0
Teleop52.2
End9.8
Second
7627
#29
30.53.2
40.537.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End0.9
blue by 7.3
4089
#30
37.80.2
37.237.0
Auto6.9
Teleop29.7
End1.2
Third
2928
#35
12.23.2
14.611.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.3
End0.4
blue by 6.0
2976
#36
18.20.2
22.222.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed