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Red186
212262.9
903647.6
999840.4
Blue189
131850.0
49257.2
241257.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14918250100200250300350186189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+17Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +28
23Coral scored#21
83Coral points75
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#5
18Processor points18
40Net points20
58Algae points38
141Total teleop113
Reef
15L4#11
6L3#5
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +14
12Cage & park26
12Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
186Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.8
62.262.9
Auto16.0
Teleop36.7
End10.2
red by 5.4
57.50.4
56.156.6
Auto12.9
Teleop34.6
End10.1
Second
9036
#24
47.60.8
46.847.6
Auto4.2
Teleop42.4
End1.0
blue by 9.6
492
#16
57.20.4
55.856.2
Auto8.8
Teleop39.4
End9.1
Third
9998
#20
40.40.8
39.740.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.1
End1.4
blue by 9.6
50.00.4
48.649.0
Auto13.8
Teleop31.9
End4.3