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Red97
451238.4
83039.2
94843.6
Blue154
252257.2
204667.6
830214.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771205010015097154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+45
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Coral scored#20
59Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
77Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
97Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#9
43.61.4
41.542.9
Auto7.1
Teleop29.3
End7.2
blue by 24.0
67.63.1
52.155.2
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
Second
38.41.4
19.420.8
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
blue by 18.7
57.23.1
38.841.9
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
Third
8303
#32
9.22.3
15.117.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 5.8
8302
#18
14.95.1
17.122.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned