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Red106
746125.2
177878.9
339316.1
Blue50
830214.9
594123.8
903637.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109715010015010650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
16Coral scored#7
59Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
83Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
106Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.3
72.572.8
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 41.2
9036
#15
37.71.6
27.826.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
Second
25.20.3
17.918.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
red by 1.4
5941
#19
23.81.6
24.623.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Third
3393
#21
16.10.3
11.411.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
red by 1.2
8302
#18
14.92.7
21.518.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed