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Red22
83039.2
297622.1
594123.8
Blue91
491138.0
805119.7
830214.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647602003004005006002291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+47
Fouls+69
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +52
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
0Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#3
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points22
22Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5941
#19
23.82.6
23.020.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 14.2
4911
#16
38.00.0
29.429.4
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
Second
2976
#23
22.12.6
24.722.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
red by 2.4
8051
#20
19.70.0
20.420.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7
Third
8303
#32
9.24.4
13.79.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 5.8
8302
#18
14.90.0
18.818.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed