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Red108
457917.3
746125.2
803232.9
Blue105
446952.7
297622.1
290330.4
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64120050100150108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
73Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
108Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8032
#22
32.92.8
29.232.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.8
End7.7
blue by 19.8
52.70.0
52.252.3
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
25.22.8
22.825.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
blue by 5.2
2903
#27
30.40.0
30.630.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.9
End6.4
Third
4579
#34
17.33.1
14.217.3
Auto1.6
Teleop14.7
End1.0
blue by 4.8
2976
#23
22.10.0
21.521.6
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned