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Red192
204667.6
944620.6
177878.9
Blue91
805119.7
446952.7
451238.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1821145010015020025019291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+89Teleop
+105Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points25
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +86
31Coral scored#10
111Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
137Total teleop51
Reef
17L4#6
7L3#2
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#18
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +101
2Foul points6
192Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.90.6
78.178.6
Auto19.1
Teleop58.3
End1.4
red by 26.2
52.70.6
53.853.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
67.60.6
66.867.4
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End5.7
red by 29.2
38.40.6
39.538.9
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Third
9446
#30
20.60.6
19.720.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 0.9
8051
#20
19.70.7
20.920.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7