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Red119
321843.4
408939.9
297622.1
Blue79
594123.8
746125.2
1007938.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209440608014016018011979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+38Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
83Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#5
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
119Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#10
43.40.3
42.943.2
Auto12.1
Teleop29.8
End1.6
red by 4.8
38.70.2
39.138.8
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
Second
39.90.3
39.339.7
Auto8.4
Teleop29.1
End2.4
red by 14.7
25.20.2
25.625.4
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Third
2976
#23
22.10.3
21.621.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End1.6
blue by 1.6
5941
#19
23.80.2
24.223.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3