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Red140
593737.5
491138.0
903637.7
Blue83
594123.8
746125.2
1007938.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079040608010012014016018014083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+57Teleop
+59Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
29Coral scored#10
105Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
127Total teleop63
Reef
11L4#5
10L3#3
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points2
140Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4911
#16
38.00.9
33.134.0
Auto4.2
Teleop30.8
End3.0
blue by 0.7
38.70.2
38.838.7
Auto13.6
Teleop23.9
End1.1
Second
9036
#15
37.70.9
32.933.8
Auto5.1
Teleop31.7
End1.0
red by 12.5
25.20.2
25.425.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End1.6
Third
5937
#12
37.50.9
32.733.6
Auto3.5
Teleop28.6
End5.4
red by 13.7
5941
#19
23.80.2
23.923.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End3.3