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Red78
468236.3
252257.2
558817.2
Blue128
805119.7
446952.7
451238.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211218010011078128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +59
7Coral scored#18
24Coral points63
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
28Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +50
2Foul points0
78Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.9
58.757.8
Auto17.2
Teleop38.2
End1.7
red by 4.5
52.70.3
53.553.8
Auto13.5
Teleop37.1
End2.1
Second
36.30.9
37.836.9
Auto8.5
Teleop26.0
End1.7
blue by 2.2
38.40.3
39.239.5
Auto8.4
Teleop28.4
End1.6
Third
5588
#24
17.20.9
18.717.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 2.5
8051
#20
19.70.4
20.520.9
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.7